When the Yield Curve Inverts (1990–2025) [OC]

Data: FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

Series: DGS10, DGS2, GDPC1, UNRATE, USREC

Tools: R (fredr, tidyverse, ggplot2, patchwork)

Shows: 10Y–2Y yield spread over time and its relationship to future GDP growth (+2Q) and unemployment changes (+12M)