The poverty rate in a given county is inversely correlated with support for the GOP candidate. With a coefficient of determination of 0.389, we know that poverty rate accounts for 38.9% of the variance in partisan leaning of a given county. In other words, a higher poverty rate means less support for the Republican candidate.
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tigole on
So.. the poorer counties hate him?
oberwolfach on
Poverty rate is correlated with black population proportion, and in Mississippi voting patterns are extremely correlated with race.
MisguidedColt88 on
I’ve got to point out that the margin of error in the trend you’re showing all but exceeds the trend itself. The trend is interesting to be sure, but solely from a statistics perspective you can’t rely on this data because the level of uncertainty exceeds any predictions you might make.
5 Comments
**Sources:**
[National Institutes of Health](https://hdpulse.nimhd.nih.gov/data-portal/social/table?age=001&age_options=ageall_1&demo=00007&demo_options=poverty_3&race=00&race_options=race_7&sex=0&sex_options=sexboth_1&socialtopic=080&socialtopic_options=social_6&statefips=28&statefips_options=area_states)
[Politico](https://www.politico.com/2024-election/results/mississippi/senate/)
**Findings:**
The poverty rate in a given county is inversely correlated with support for the GOP candidate. With a coefficient of determination of 0.389, we know that poverty rate accounts for 38.9% of the variance in partisan leaning of a given county. In other words, a higher poverty rate means less support for the Republican candidate.
[deleted]
So.. the poorer counties hate him?
Poverty rate is correlated with black population proportion, and in Mississippi voting patterns are extremely correlated with race.
I’ve got to point out that the margin of error in the trend you’re showing all but exceeds the trend itself. The trend is interesting to be sure, but solely from a statistics perspective you can’t rely on this data because the level of uncertainty exceeds any predictions you might make.