Scatter plot of earnings-related prediction markets. Each point is a public company with an upcoming earnings call. ($). Y-axis: Probability of beating their earnings expectation (%). X-axis: Liquidity. Liquidity is the amount of money currently in a market. Higher liquidity usually makes the market's probability more trustworthy, like a larger sample size. Low-liquidity markets can be noisier and more volatile.

    Source: https://www.implied-data.com/macro/earnings

    by BadBoyBrando

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