Python mathpoltlib code and data from the chapter page 88 in volume 3 linked to by wikipedia.
-p-e-w- on
Two patterns can be consistently observed in society:
* Predictions for the future, including scientific ones, tend to be hilariously inaccurate, with widely assumed future developments (e.g. manned NASA Mars missions by the 1980s) just flat out failing to materialize, while overwhelmingly important trends (such as the rapid growth of the Internet) aren’t on anyone’s radar.
* Nevertheless, people always insist that broad and disruptive policy changes are made based on things that they are absolutely certain will happen 30 years from now.
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‘***The Global 2000 Report to the President*** was a 1980 report commissioned by President [Jimmy Carter](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jimmy_Carter). It warned that [world population growth](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth#Population_growth_rate), [pollution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pollution) and [resource depletion](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_depletion) would have dramatic consequences by the year 2000 if no changes in public policy were made’ [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Global_2000_Report_to_the_President](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Global_2000_Report_to_the_President)
Python mathpoltlib code and data from the chapter page 88 in volume 3 linked to by wikipedia.
Two patterns can be consistently observed in society:
* Predictions for the future, including scientific ones, tend to be hilariously inaccurate, with widely assumed future developments (e.g. manned NASA Mars missions by the 1980s) just flat out failing to materialize, while overwhelmingly important trends (such as the rapid growth of the Internet) aren’t on anyone’s radar.
* Nevertheless, people always insist that broad and disruptive policy changes are made based on things that they are absolutely certain will happen 30 years from now.