Assuming that the hit probability is normally distributed around the aim point, this is the expected average score per dart, as a function of the aim point. The .gif sweeps over different precision values. Accuracy is assumed to be perfect. The red line indicates the region(s) with the top 10% score for that precision band. Total beginners should aim for dead center, the pros for triple 20, no surprises there. Made using MATLAB, by convolving a dartboard scoring function with a 2-D Gaussian throw-dispersion model. New version based on helpful suggestions from sircod, dcnairb and snatch_hugger. First version mistakenly had the board mirrored.
by DDD1604
4 Comments
The review process works. Looks great!!
Can you explain more what you mean by precision values while accuracy is assumed to be perfect?
Does the gif sweep towards perfect accuracy and away from low acc? I wonder how you would say it differently. Very cool
Good update! Looks consistent with [this similar analysis now](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/gqdr1v/oc_the_dartboard_where_is_the_best_place_to_aim/).
This makes way more sense than the previous one – I was always told that triple 19 is the best spot for beginners