Assuming that the hit probability is normally distributed around the aim point, this is the expected average score per dart, as a function of the aim point. The .gif sweeps over different accuracy values. The red line indicates the region(s) with the top 10% score for that accuracy band. Total beginners should aim for dead center, the pros for triple 20, no surprises there. Made using MATLAB, by convolving a dartboard scoring function with a 2-D Gaussian throw-dispersion model.
by DDD1604
9 Comments
This is an interesting graphic. As a mediocre dart player, this actually has a useful message for me, which is that I should make sure to aim middle/right, never left!
Supported by MATLAB, a Simulink software…
If I am playing X01 games, I always aim at the 19 (triple 19 more specifically, even though I don’t expect to actually hit it often) for all the rounds. For some reason it seems way easier than hitting the 20, and then if you miss on either side you can at least get 3 or 7 (avg of 5) instead of 1 or 5 (avg of 2.5). Not to mention if you miss even further you have 16 and 17 (avg 16.5) instead of 12 and 18 (avg of 15). Not a huge difference (average of all 5 slots is 12.4 around the 19, vs 11.2 around the 20) but getting a couple 1’s when aiming for 20 is just demoralizing.
The center of a dart board not being worth the most points will never not be infuriating
Do you have a repo we could pull down to play with? Nice visualization.
Hit treble 20 – write that down, write that down!
It would be nice to see where the single point of best score highlighted, it is difficult to see exactly where the brightest shade of yellow actually is. The red outline doesn’t seem very useful, especially after it splits into several zones, most of which is in a green area.
This looks a bit different from the [last time I saw a similar analysis](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/gqdr1v/oc_the_dartboard_where_is_the_best_place_to_aim/) where the best point of aim was near the triple 19 for lower accuracy levels.
Cool graphic, I would have annotated the outside of the board with the numbers like a real dart board. And potentially the x-y axes are unnecessary.
edit: I’m convinced the x axis is flipped. or we’re viewing this as if we’re the dart board not the player. at 17mm accuracy the upper left and lower right are favoured which doesn’t make sense.
upper right is 18 vs 12 in the upper left.
lower left is 19 and 16 vs 17 and 15 in the lower right.
I’m curious if handedness would impact the data.